Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.559041 12.087854 13.774541 15.775789 18.088619 20.681255 23.813072
2025-09-21 8.426033 10.390115 12.732848 15.741978 19.517434 24.114379 30.161624
2025-09-28 7.097881 9.225686 11.908563 15.556478 20.413668 26.695129 35.493567
2025-10-05 6.425074 8.722729 11.756178 16.081468 22.135240 30.373079 42.544853
2025-10-12 5.870224 8.273923 11.576008 16.482677 23.655893 33.863056 49.673022
2025-10-19 5.474533 7.980156 11.547465 17.049634 25.417871 37.820794 57.881325
2025-10-26 4.874063 7.315719 10.901884 16.616636 25.615524 39.441587 62.678977
2025-11-02 4.421301 6.818182 10.441667 16.393984 26.076221 41.462483 68.274455
2025-11-09 4.043149 6.393739 10.043970 16.212781 26.557153 43.525485 74.122145
2025-11-16 3.707007 6.001086 9.653987 15.993545 26.932513 45.420967 79.854703
2025-11-23 3.393294 5.614494 9.235104 15.676997 27.095164 46.945365 85.064577
2025-11-30 3.297621 5.580126 9.391470 16.349452 29.030617 51.732443 96.743616
2025-12-07 3.121070 5.395557 9.281879 16.553575 30.165443 55.231072 106.488255
2025-12-14 2.922093 5.154258 9.051823 16.516215 30.847202 57.954774 115.045931
2025-12-21 2.719493 4.888505 8.753869 16.321004 31.201814 60.075715 122.619206
2025-12-28 2.641344 4.842249 8.848578 16.873467 33.055219 65.303745 137.253199
2026-01-04 2.550830 4.764589 8.876654 17.295710 34.685223 70.242243 151.868306
2026-01-11 2.487963 4.733611 8.989019 17.892446 36.726242 76.233245 169.547019
2026-01-18 2.305746 4.456330 8.601571 17.436700 36.511901 77.413610 176.422763
2026-01-25 2.163860 4.247762 8.332990 17.202365 36.746100 79.583218 185.863773
2026-02-01 2.038133 4.062029 8.095510 17.011661 37.054362 81.941567 196.039605
2026-02-08 1.918263 3.879254 7.849862 16.780939 37.248412 84.054245 205.865733
2026-02-15 1.797844 3.686520 7.568944 16.447825 37.174907 85.533213 214.269227